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基于Delphi Method和Factor Analysis构造粤港澳大学生信用评价体系 认领 引用
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作者 陈家辉 叶萌芳 +2 位作者 祁志峰 虞思静 尹佩贤 《价值工程》 2026年第16期40-43,共4页
随着互联网消费金融市场在我国逐年的扩张,大学生参与消费金融的人数和分期交易额均呈现爆发式增长。对于大学生的金融需求由于大学生群体信用评级体系不完善,造成群体从传统金融渠道获得融资的门槛高,流程复杂,合理金融需求无法被满足... 随着互联网消费金融市场在我国逐年的扩张,大学生参与消费金融的人数和分期交易额均呈现爆发式增长。对于大学生的金融需求由于大学生群体信用评级体系不完善,造成群体从传统金融渠道获得融资的门槛高,流程复杂,合理金融需求无法被满足,同时,借款申请信息没有共享,导致多头借贷行为始终难以杜绝,给非法校园金融产品留下“野蛮生长”空间。因此,本文基于Delphi Method和Factor Analysis,形成“专家预设-实证优化”的闭环验证机制筛选指标并构建粤港澳大学生信用体系,打造多维度信用评价网络,为大湾区大学生信用体系建设的差异化、特色化方向发展提供新的思路及借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 信用评价 信用指标 大学生信用 Delphi Method Factor Analysis
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Outpatient Experience of Human Caring Scale (OEHC-Scale): Improvement by Delphi Method 认领 引用 被引量：19
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作者 Chun-yan GUAN Yi-lan LIU +8 位作者 Hui HUANG Xia YANG Juan-juan XU Xin-qiao FU De-ying HU Cai-hong LU Zhi-guo ZHANG Juan XU Peng HAN 《Current Medical Science》 SCIE CAS 2018年第2期360-371,共12页
Based on the outpatient interview and literature review, the initial framework of the outpatient experience of human caring scale was formed with 9 dimensions of outpatient process. The research aim was to improve the... Based on the outpatient interview and literature review, the initial framework of the outpatient experience of human caring scale was formed with 9 dimensions of outpatient process. The research aim was to improve the scale by Delphi method. Sixteen experts in medical management, human caring or medical education were invited to evaluate the importance of the dimensions and items of the scale and provided some expertise via filling out the DeLphi consultation questionnaires twice in the consulting round. In the first round, the recovery rate showing the experts＇ positivity was 80%; the coefficient of reliability （Cr） ascertaining the authority of the evaluation was 0.92; the mean and full mark ratios responding the concentration of the evaluation were 2.88-4.94 and 6.25%-93.75% respectively; the coefficients of variation （CV） and the Kendall＇s W determining the concordance of the evaluation were 5.06%-52.15% and 0.21-0.24 respectively. In the second round, the recovery rate was 93.75%; the Cr was 0.93; the mean was 3.93-4.93; the full mark ratios were 26.67%-93.33%; the Kendall＇s W was 0.14- 0.31, the CV was 5.25%-23.61%. Via the two-round Delphi study, the scale that included 10 dimensions and 61 items has been improved. Ten dimensions are pre-hospital medical service, guidance, registration, waiting, diagnosis ＆ treatment, paying, inspection ＆ assay, medicine receiving, therapy/injectionransfusion and global evaluation. It was concluded that Chinese scholars have paid high attention to human caring and outpatient experience. The experts have given high agreements about the dimensions which were established with Chinese outpatient process. The dimensions are different from the similar researches about outpatient experience study. In the future, it is necessary to survey the outpatients to test the construct validity, internal consistency reliability and others of the scale to improve the scale. 展开更多
关键词 outpatient experience human caring Delphi method consensus methods quality measurement needs assessment
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Construction of nursing standard of integrated traditional Chinese and Western medicine for patients with COVID‑19 (mild and common) in Beijing based on Delphi method 认领 引用 被引量：3
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作者 Jing ZHANG Xue‑Ling MA +3 位作者 Jian‑Hua DENG Jing LI Zhi‑Yun ZHANG Ling TANG 《Journal of Integrative Nursing》 2020年第4期172-178,共7页
Objective:The objective of this study is to establish a nursing standard of integrated traditional Chinese and Western medicine for patients with COVID‑19(mild and common)in Beijing,to provide reference for clinical n... Objective:The objective of this study is to establish a nursing standard of integrated traditional Chinese and Western medicine for patients with COVID‑19(mild and common)in Beijing,to provide reference for clinical nursing of patients with COVID‑19(mild and common).Methods:Through online communication meeting with nurses who are in the frontline of anti‑epidemic,clinical investigation,literature research,and expert demonstration meeting are carried out to prepare the draft of the standard,and the Delphi method is applied to determine the standard of integrated traditional Chinese and Western medicine care for patients with COVID‑19(mild and common)in Beijing.Results:The nursing standard of integrated traditional Chinese and Western medicine for patients with COVID‑19(mild and common)was established,which included 5 first‑level indicators,14 second-level indicators and 60 third‑level indicators.After two rounds of Delphi method,the positive coefficients of experts were 96%and 83%,the authoritative coefficients of experts were 0.89 and 0.91,and the Kendall’s coefficient of concordance(W)of experts were 0.12,0.09,0.10,0.13(P<0.05)and 0.44,0.43,0.37,0.39(P<0.05).Conclusion:The standard of integrated traditional Chinese and Western medicine nursing for patients with COVID‑19(mild and common)in Beijing constructed by the Delphi method is scientific and practical,which provides a reference for clinical application of integrated traditional Chinese and Western medicine nursing to fight against COVID‑19 infection. 展开更多
关键词 Common COVID‑19 Delphi method integrated traditional Chinese and Western medicine nursing mild nursing standard
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Re-discussing the content of the prescription rights of midwives under certain circumstances using the Delphi method 认领 引用 被引量：1
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作者 Shi-Fan Han Rui-Fang Zhu +1 位作者 Jin-Lian Cheng Xiao-Ding Yue 《Chinese Nursing Research》 2017年第3期146-150,共5页
Objective： This study sought to investigate the content of the prescription rights and the prescription types of midwives under certain circumstances in China. Methods： The Delphi method was used to consult 18 nursi... Objective： This study sought to investigate the content of the prescription rights and the prescription types of midwives under certain circumstances in China. Methods： The Delphi method was used to consult 18 nursing experts and 14 medical experts, A total of 30 experts finished the consulting. The reliability of the expert opinions was analyzed to determine the specific situations in which midwives may write prescriptions, the content of the prescription rights and the prescription types. Results： In six specific circumstances （uterine contraction fatigue, uterine contractions that are too strong, postpartum hemorrhage, premature rupture of the membranes, normal delivery and neonatal asphyxia）, midwives have the right to prescribe and administer medication, including 20 drugs and 13 auxiliary examinations. Of these drugs and examinations, 51.5% of the drugs and adjuvant examination prescriptions tend to be independent prescriptions, 30.3% tend to be protocol prescriptions, and 18.2% are similar to both types. Conclusions： The midwives should be granted some prescription rights to enhance their autonomy and the professionalism of midwifery. 展开更多
关键词 Delphi method Midwife Specific circumstances Prescription content Prescription type
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Establishing nursing adverse events’reporting content of hospital:using the Delphi method 认领 引用
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作者 Yue Liu Hua-Ping Liu 《Frontiers of Nursing》 2020年第4期337-344,共8页
Objective:To develop nursing adverse events’reporting content of hospital.Methods:The study included two phases.The first phase was to develop the category and definition of nursing adverse events that need to be rep... Objective:To develop nursing adverse events’reporting content of hospital.Methods:The study included two phases.The first phase was to develop the category and definition of nursing adverse events that need to be reported through an expert meeting.The second phase was to develop every nursing adverse event’s reporting content by using the Delphi method.In total,8 experts attended the meeting and 15 experts conducted two rounds of consultation letter.Results:Nursing adverse events that need to be reported of hospital include pressure sore,fall/falling from bed,unplanned extubation,medication error,and accident.Reporting content of these events in detail had also been obtained,which was helpful for cause analysis systematically.Conclusions:The reporting content of the nursing adverse event of hospital is established,and it is a basis for further study of the development of nursing adverse event reporting and feedback system. 展开更多
关键词 nursing adverse event reporting content expert meeting Delphi method Swiss Cheese Model adverse event report
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Study on traditional Chinese medicine syndrome of esophageal cancer based on Delphi method 认领 引用 被引量：1
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作者 Yu-Ling Zheng Hong-Xin Sun +3 位作者 Ya-Ling Zhang Xue-Kun Song Jun-Tao Wang Ya-Qi Meng 《TMR Theory and Hypothesis》 2021年第2期469-477,共9页
Esophageal cancer is one of the common malignant tumors in humans.Traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)has unique advantages in the treatment of esophageal cancer.However,the TCM syndrome classification of esophageal canc... Esophageal cancer is one of the common malignant tumors in humans.Traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)has unique advantages in the treatment of esophageal cancer.However,the TCM syndrome classification of esophageal cancer is not standardized.This Delphi survey aimed to explore the TCM syndrome classification and symptom characteristics of esophageal cancer.Methods:Based on literature research,an expert consultation questionnaire was developed for the study of the TCM syndrome rules of esophageal cancer.Two rounds of questionnaire surveys were conducted among 62 experts across the country.Statistical description and statistical analysis of the mean,coefficient of variation,grade sum,and unimportant percentage of the retrieved data.TCM syndrome rules and diagnostic indicators for esophageal cancer after screening and sorting out the questionnaire items,convening experts to demonstrate.Results:62 valid questionnaires were collected,and the expert positive coefficient was 100%.The Kendall's coefficient of concordance W of the first and second rounds are 0.232 and 0.2334 respectively.In addition,the Kendall's coefficient of concordance W of the second round has been improved compared with the first round,suggesting that experts have a better degree of coordination on the importance of indicators.The common TCM syndromes of esophageal cancer are obtained:"liver-stomach disharmony,phlegm and qi obstruction syndrome","liver and spleen disorders,phlegm accumulating with stagnation syndrome","deficiency of liver and kidney yin,stubborn blood syndrome","deficiency of spleen and kidney yang,stubborn blood syndrome".Conclusion:The TCM syndrome indicators of esophageal cancer has been established.It provides a basis for the standardized research of TCM syndrome diagnosis of esophageal cancer,which is of positive significance for improving the level of clinical diagnosis and treatment. 展开更多
关键词 Esophageal cancer syndrome Delphi method expert questionnaire traditional Chinese medicine
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Construction of a core competency index system for hospital consult pharmacists:A Delphi method and analytic hierarchy process 认领 引用 被引量：1
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作者 Xiaojing Lu Xiangfen Shi +1 位作者 Kefeng Liu Shuzhang Du 《Journal of Chinese Pharmaceutical Sciences》 CAS CSCD 2024年第12期1153-1160,共8页
The aim of this study is to discipline construction in our hospital.The Delphi method was used to construct the constituent elements and specific connotations of the core competence of HCPs,and the analytic hierarchy ... The aim of this study is to discipline construction in our hospital.The Delphi method was used to construct the constituent elements and specific connotations of the core competence of HCPs,and the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)was used to determine the index weight.A total of 19 experts were included,all with intermediate or higher professional titles.The positive coefficients of experts in the two rounds of consultation were all 100%.The judgment basis of experts is 0.895,the degree of familiarity is 0.842,and the coefficient of authority is 0.868.The Kendall harmony coefficients of the first,second,and third-level indicators were 0.381,0.383,and 0.320,respectively.The expert coordination degree was tested by x2 test,the P values were all less than 0.05,indicating that the degree of expert coordination was well.After two rounds of letter inquiry,an evaluation index system of core competence of HCPs with professional accomplishment,theoretical knowledge,basic skills,professional skills,and professional development ability as the main framework was formed,including 5 first-level indicators,18 second-level indicators,and 62 third-level indicators.Based on the Delphi and AHP methods,the index system of HCPs'core competence established has high authority and scientificity,to provide the theoretical basis for the standardized training and comprehensive evaluation of HCPs. 展开更多
关键词 Hospital consult pharmacists Core competence Index system Delphi method Analytic hierarchy process
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Content Validity of a Self-Management Behavior Assessment Tool for Adult Post-Renal Transplant Recipients Using a Modified Delphi Method 认领 引用
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作者 Takahiro Ohashi Chiharu Akazawa 《Health》 2022年第1期70-95,共26页
Background: Self-management is important for post-renal transplant recipients to resolve renal dysfunction, heart failure, and post-transplant psychosocial issues, and to maintain transplant kidney function, etc. Howe... Background: Self-management is important for post-renal transplant recipients to resolve renal dysfunction, heart failure, and post-transplant psychosocial issues, and to maintain transplant kidney function, etc. However, because recipients may be unable to adequately self-manage, healthcare providers need to provide self-management support for recipients to improve their skills and confidence in managing their disease. However, it is difficult to comprehensively assess the self-management behaviors in a busy outpatient support setting. Furthermore, since there are no uniform standards for assessment, it is based on the experience and abilities of medical personnel. Therefore, self-management behavior of post-renal transplant recipients is not sufficiently evaluated. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate content validity of a tool that can assess self-management behaviors of adult post-renal transplant recipients, consisting of consensus components from experts familiar with the follow-up of adult post-renal transplant recipients. Methods: A three-round modified Delphi method was used to assess the self-management behaviors of adult post-renal transplant recipients by a panel of experts consisting of certified transplant recipient coordinators, physicians, outpatient nurses, and researchers familiar with the follow-up of post-renal transplant recipients. Regarding management behaviors of adult post-renal transplant recipients, the experts rated the appropriateness and validity of each item using a Likert scale. Consensus ratings from the experts were made by calculating the median, interquartile range, and interquartile range percentage. In the third round, an item-level content validity index was calculated to assess content validity. Conclusions: The 41-item self-management behavior scale for kidney transplant recipients assessed self-management behaviors in five domains: medication, exercise, fluids and diet, disease and symptom prevention and management, and psychosocial adjustment. The content validity of this tool was confirmed, and it can be used to more easily assess the recipients’ self-management behaviors in the post-renal transplant follow-up. This tool can potentially contribute to the maintenance of transplant kidney function and high QOL in recipients. 展开更多
关键词 Post-Renal Transplant Recipient Self-Management Modified Delphi Method
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Construction of a postpartum pelvic floor rehabilitation exercise programme based on the Delphi method 认领 引用
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作者 Jingjing Gong Xiaowei LI +6 位作者 YiQian Chen Xiao-Ting Wei Lian-Hua Bai Hongmei Zhu Yang Yang Ying Zhao Xiaodan Li 《Gynecology and Obstetrics Clinical Medicine》 2025年第3期200-206,共7页
Background Pelvic floor dysfunction(PFD)affects women's health and quality of life seriously.Postpartum is a crucial stage and ideal opportunity for the prevention and treatment of PFD diseases.Therefore,it is ess... Background Pelvic floor dysfunction(PFD)affects women's health and quality of life seriously.Postpartum is a crucial stage and ideal opportunity for the prevention and treatment of PFD diseases.Therefore,it is essential to promote postpartum physical recoveryandeffectively improve the prevention and treatment effect of PFD through a simple,non-invasive and high-compliance pelvic floor rehabilitation programme during postpartum pelvic floorrehabilitation.Methods A literature review was conducted to develop the initial list of competencies which consisted of 23 items from six models.Two rounds of Delphi Surveys were conducted,inviting experts via email to rate the importance of each item and provide qualitative comments on their ratings.Consensus was predefined as a mean score of 4.0 or above and at least 75%agreement among the participants.Results The postnatal pelvic floor rehabilitation exercise programme developed in this study was guided by the holistic pelvic floor theory'proposed by Petros and Ulmsten.The effective recovery rate of the two rounds of expert consultation questionnaires was 100%.In the first round,some items were changed according to experts'opinions.In the second round,the expert authority coefficient was 0.819.The Kendall coefficient of expert opinion was 0.154(p<0.01).The final plan included 6 modules with 23 items.The postpartum pelvic floor rehabilitation exercise programme was formed,consisting of six exercises(APBKQS-exercise)such as abdominal breathing,pelvic exercise,bridge exercise,kneeling balance,quadrupedal stretching and supine hand-andkneeconfrontation.Conclusion The postnatal pelvic floor rehabilitation exercise programme constructed in this study integrates multiple exercises(APBKQS-exercise).Theexercise programme guided by the"holistic pelvic floor theory"incorporates the use of Women's Active Functional Fitness Equipment(WAFF)exercise air cushions to better achieve the purpose of alleviating joint pain,loosening contracture muscles,repairing pelvic floor muscles,strengthening abdominal core strength,and recovering body shape as soon as possible. 展开更多
关键词 Delphi method pelvic floor dysfunction holistic pelvic floor theory pelvic floor rehabilitation postpartum pelvic floor dysfunction pfd affects rehabilitation exercise programme literature review
Chinese medicine syndrome differentiation—kidney deficiency syndrome(KDS)for women during pregnancy:Delphi expert consensus on a self-reported KDS symptoms scale followed by psychometric properties evaluation 认领 引用
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作者 CHEN An ZHANG Jiawen +4 位作者 GAO Du ZHOU Tianyi LOU Hongshan GUO Lanzhong QU Fan 《Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2026年第1期236-244,共9页
OBJECTIVE:To develop an expert consensus on kidney deficiency syndrome(KDS)in pregnant women and construct a validated self-reported KDS Patient-Reported Measures Pregnancy Scale(KDS-PRMs-Pregnancy Scale)for early ide... OBJECTIVE:To develop an expert consensus on kidney deficiency syndrome(KDS)in pregnant women and construct a validated self-reported KDS Patient-Reported Measures Pregnancy Scale(KDS-PRMs-Pregnancy Scale)for early identification and management.METHODS:The study was conducted in three phases.First,a comprehensive review of Traditional Chinese Medicine(TCM)literature and diagnostic criteria was performed,generating initial KDS symptoms for pregnancy.Second,a two-round Delphi survey,involving 21 experts from TCM,obstetrics,and gynaecology,assessed importance,relevance,and appropriateness of the items.Third,a psychometric evaluation was conducted,including exploratory factor analysis and internal consistency assessment.RESULTS:In the first Delphi round,19 items were flagged for revision or removal due to expert variability,with 12 items deemed irrelevant.In the second round,consensus was reached,resulting in a 25-item scale.After psychometric evaluation,seven items were removed due to poor factor loadings,leaving an 18-item scale.Three factors—physiological discomfort,fatigue&weakness,and excretion abnormalities—accounted for 78.4%of the variance.The final scale demonstrated excellent internal consistency(Cronbach's alpha=0.959).CONCLUSION:The validated 18-item KDS-PRMsPregnancy Scale is a reliable tool for assessing KDS in pregnant women.Future research should focus on validation in diverse populations and exploring its predictive validity for pregnancy outcomes. 展开更多
关键词 kidney deficiency pregnancy expert consensus patient-reported measures Delphi method
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Construction and demonstrative application of an evaluation indicator system for the distinction of ancient books of traditional Chinese medicine based on the Delphi method and analytic hierarchy process 认领 引用
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作者 Lin Tong Weina Zhang +10 位作者 Lei Zhang Meng Li Sihong Liu Guangkun Chen Chen Li Yu Zhang Junze Ye Zhaochen Su Bing Li Hongtao Li Huamin Zhang 《Guideline and Standard in Chinese Medicine》 2025年第2期138-144,共7页
Objective:To construct a scientific and standardized evaluation indicator system for the distinction of ancient books of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),aiming to provide a scientific basis for their cascade protect... Objective:To construct a scientific and standardized evaluation indicator system for the distinction of ancient books of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM),aiming to provide a scientific basis for their cascade protection.Methods:The Delphi method was applied to establish the evaluation indicator system for the distinction of ancient books of TCM,and the analytic hierarchy process was used to determine the weight of each indicator.Results:An evaluation indicator system for the distinction of ancient books of TCM was developed,including 4 first-level indicators and 15 second-level indicators.The experts’enthusiasm,authority,and coordination of opinions were all satisfactory.Conclusion:An evaluation indicator system for the distinction of ancient books of TCM was preliminarily constructed.The system is targeted,well-structured,and exhibits strong scientific and practical significance. 展开更多
关键词 distinction of ancient books of TCM Delphi method analytic hierarchy process indicator system
Establishment of the Traditional Chinese Medicine Nursing Assessment Form Based on the Delphi Method for Chronic Wounds 认领 引用
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作者 Lina Yue Xuying Xu +8 位作者 Shujie Cui Ran Xie Conghui Shi Changyue Wang Guangyu Wang Shidong An Shurui Xie Shuo Wang Xiaolu Pei 《Future Integrative Medicine》 2025年第4期197-203,共7页
Background and objectives:The existing wound assessment tools,which are based on modern medical theory,limit the clinical application of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)nursing.This research aimed to develop a scient... Background and objectives:The existing wound assessment tools,which are based on modern medical theory,limit the clinical application of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)nursing.This research aimed to develop a scientific,standardized,and characteristic TCM nursing evaluation form for chronic wounds.Methods:Based on a literature review and research group discussions,an initial draft of an expert consultation questionnaire,based on literature from the past five years(2017–2021)from databases such as CNKI,Wanfang,VIP,and SinoMed,was formulated.The authority of the experts was expressed using the authority coefficient,derived from self-evaluations,which is critical for ensuring the scientific validity and rationality of the indicator system.After three rounds of Delphi expert consultation,the TCM nursing assessment form for wound surfaces was finalized.Results:The effective response rate for the three rounds of expert consultation questionnaires was 100%.The judgment coefficient was 0.85,the familiarity coefficient was 0.89,and the authority coefficient was 0.87.The coefficients of variation for the three rounds were 0.172,0.044,and 0.013,respectively,while the Kendall’s coefficients of concordance were 0.406,0.269,and 0.502,respectively,with statistically significant differences(p<0.001).The final TCM nursing assessment form for wound surfaces included four basic information items,two primary indicators,17 secondary indicators,and 13 tertiary indicators.Conclusions:The TCM nursing assessment form integrates TCM syndrome differentiation principles and provides a standardized tool for the assessment of chronic wounds. 展开更多
关键词 Traditional Chinese medicine TCM TCM nursing assessment Chronic wound Syndrome differentiation Delphi method
基于Delphi-AHP的钢铁行业碳排放数据质量评价研究 认领 引用
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作者 翟明洋 周长波 +5 位作者 逯世泽 李广宇 王翔宇 曹钰 张敏 齐学进 《中国环境管理》 CSSCI 2026年第3期70-76,共7页
钢铁行业作为高碳排放行业,其碳排放量约占全国碳排放总量的15%,于2025年3月正式纳入全国碳排放权交易市场。企业温室气体排放数据质量是保障碳市场有效运行的核心基础。2025年1月实施的《企业温室气体排放核算与报告指南钢铁行业(CETS... 钢铁行业作为高碳排放行业,其碳排放量约占全国碳排放总量的15%,于2025年3月正式纳入全国碳排放权交易市场。企业温室气体排放数据质量是保障碳市场有效运行的核心基础。2025年1月实施的《企业温室气体排放核算与报告指南钢铁行业(CETS—AG—03.01—V01—2024)》(以下简称《指南》)对数据质量管理提出更高要求,但现有的对钢铁企业报送的碳排放数据质量进行评价的工具适配性不足,亟须构建行业专用评价体系。本研究融合德尔菲法与层次分析法(Delphi-AHP),构建包含数据准确性、完整性、一致性、时效性及新增的“数据存证合规性”在内的5项准则层指标和17项指标层指标,并创新引入“静态指标评估+动态核算验证”双重机制,以弥补旧体系对《指南》工序存证要求的覆盖缺口。通过对华北某省重点钢铁集团开展实证评估,发现其数据质量综合得分为79.2分(中等偏上),数据时效性达标,但数据一致性存在显著短板。本研究从技术、管理、制度层面提出针对性改进建议,验证了评价体系的适用性与实践价值。本研究构建的数据质量评价模型,为企业数据管理优化和监管部门的精准施策提供了科学依据与实践支持。 展开更多
关键词 钢铁行业 碳排放数据 指标体系 层次分析法 德尔菲法
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基于Delphi-AHP法的皮瓣移植患者血管危象风险评估量表的构建 认领 引用
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作者 王娇娇 张艳 +2 位作者 闫芳 宋小燕 林玲 《护理学报》 CSCD 2026年第11期67-71,共5页
目的构建皮瓣移植患者血管危象风险评估量表,为血管危象的风险预测提供筛查工具。方法采用文献内容分析法结合头脑风暴法初步拟定评估指标,2轮德尔菲专家函询确定具体指标体系、层次分析法确定各级指标权重。结果皮瓣移植患者血管危象... 目的构建皮瓣移植患者血管危象风险评估量表,为血管危象的风险预测提供筛查工具。方法采用文献内容分析法结合头脑风暴法初步拟定评估指标,2轮德尔菲专家函询确定具体指标体系、层次分析法确定各级指标权重。结果皮瓣移植患者血管危象风险评估量表包含:4项一级指标、17项二级指标和47项三级指标;2轮函询的专家积极系数分别为95%、100%,权威系数分别为0.945、0.960;2轮重要性及相关性的肯德尔和谐系数分别为0.311、0.411和0.311、0.425(P<0.001);层次分析结果显示,各矩阵的CR值均<0.1,符合一致性检验要求。结论本研究构建的皮瓣移植患者血管危象风险评估量表兼具科学性和实用性,可为皮瓣移植患者血管危象的风险预测提供一种可靠的筛查工具。 展开更多
关键词 皮瓣移植 血管危象 风险筛查 德尔菲法 层次分析法
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基于Delphi-AHP法的高层次复合型医学人才评价体系构建研究 认领 引用
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作者 李玉婷 杨雅茜 +1 位作者 穆得超 李晓霞 《考试研究》 2026年第4期70-80,共11页
为破解传统医学人才单一评价维度的局限,构建契合新医科背景的高层次复合型医学人才评价指标体系,以高等医学院校培养的医学青年博士研究生为对象,基于文献梳理与实证调研初拟指标库。采用德尔菲(Delphi)专家咨询法对33名资深医学教育... 为破解传统医学人才单一评价维度的局限,构建契合新医科背景的高层次复合型医学人才评价指标体系,以高等医学院校培养的医学青年博士研究生为对象,基于文献梳理与实证调研初拟指标库。采用德尔菲(Delphi)专家咨询法对33名资深医学教育及临床专家进行两轮函询,运用层次分析法(AHP)确定指标权重。两轮咨询专家积极系数均达到97%以上。确立了包含临床实践能力(0.2842)、职业素养与人文精神(0.2796)、学术研究与创新能力(0.2673)、跨学科协同与数智化应用能力(0.1689)4个一级指标、9个二级指标及16个三级指标的评价体系。以“临床与科研”双核为本位的评价体系,凸显“数智跨界”增量特征,体现了新医科背景下医学人才评价由“成果导向”向“核心胜任力导向”的转变,可为高等医学院校高层次复合型医学人才的选拔、培养和分类评价提供量化管理工具。 展开更多
关键词 高等医学院校 复合型医学人才 德尔菲法 层次分析法 人才评价指标体系
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《从加速、模拟到生成:人工智能融入教育科研的演进图景与本体论省思——一项基于对抗性AI-Delphi法的元研究》内容详介及研究与写作过程披露声明 认领 引用
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作者 刘嘉豪 《华东师范大学学报（教育科学版）》 CSSCI 北大核心 2026年第8期81-95,共15页
本文系全球首个“AI一作”大型社会实验“人机共创先锋论文榜”论文之一。文章第一部分为研究内容详介。人工智能驱动第五范式的兴起对教育科研中人机分工提出全新挑战。本研究立足元研究视角,设计并执行“对抗性AI-Delphi法”,构建异... 本文系全球首个“AI一作”大型社会实验“人机共创先锋论文榜”论文之一。文章第一部分为研究内容详介。人工智能驱动第五范式的兴起对教育科研中人机分工提出全新挑战。本研究立足元研究视角,设计并执行“对抗性AI-Delphi法”,构建异构大模型组成的“硅基专家组”,通过3阶段辩证推演,从AI集体心智角度探索了教育科研范式演化图景。研究发现:形态上,AI角色沿“加速—模拟—生成”路径跃迁;隐忧上,存在对“不可计算”维度的系统性遗忘、对“慢变量”的忽视及学术创新“平庸化”等陷阱;价值上,AI作为“献祭性认知他者”,反向确证教育中不可计算的意义边界,倒逼人类主体责任的伦理回归。基于此,研究构建了“教育科研中人机协同的类型学矩阵”,为范式变革提供理论参照。第二部分为研究与写作过程披露声明。本研究赋予AI以临时性的研究主体资格,联合5个异构大模型作为硅基专家,历经100余轮次、60小时以上的交互完成。在协作机制上,人类作者全程担任“价值立法者”,负责研究设计、提示词策略、逻辑重组与价值把关;AI作为执行者生成了90%以上的初稿骨架,最终直接保留文本约50%。该过程践行了“效率归AI,解释权归人”的核心原则,确证了人机协同知识生产中人类主体性的不可让渡。置身智能时代科研范式剧变的浪潮,本研究昭示:第五范式的真谛绝非机器取代人类,而是以技术极限展演反向激活人文主义的复归;呼吁人类研究者在积极拥抱技术新可能的同时,更需在持续的深思与精读中淬炼智识与品味,让教育科研在数据洪流中始终守望人的整全发展与幸福。 展开更多
关键词 人工智能驱动科研(AI4R) 对抗性AI-Delphi法 演化图景 人机协同 科研范式
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疾控监督员制度试点下医疗机构疾病预防风险评估研究:基于Delphi法、FMEA与Borda序值法的综合应用 认领 引用
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作者 向泽林 王小辽 +7 位作者 许加亮 陆锦琪 林惠芳 周浩月 富小飞 贾磊 时粉娟 朱国英 《现代预防医学》 CAS 北大核心 2026年第4期676-681,共6页
目的疾控监督员制度试点下,开展医疗机构疾病预防风险评估研究,为制定应对策略提供依据。方法在“医疗机构疾控监督员制度试点”中,采用Delphi法、FMEA、Borda序值法对疾病预防风险发生可能性、后果严重性及可探测性进行风险评价并排序... 目的疾控监督员制度试点下,开展医疗机构疾病预防风险评估研究,为制定应对策略提供依据。方法在“医疗机构疾控监督员制度试点”中,采用Delphi法、FMEA、Borda序值法对疾病预防风险发生可能性、后果严重性及可探测性进行风险评价并排序。结果构建了10项一级、53项二级医疗机构疾病预防风险指标,划分了风险水平并排序:10项一级风险由高到低依次为传染病救治防控和消毒隔离、传染病监测与疫情报告、医疗废物处置、病原微生物实验室生物安全管理、组织管理设施设备人员配备与能力建设、传染病流调与疫情控制、信息化建设与应用、预防接种、其他;53项二级风险中,前10位依次为医疗器械一人一用一消毒或灭菌>机构内传染病疫情控制=院感控制(防护及隔离)=实验室操作规程执行情况符合规定>人员专业素质、责任心=落实预检、分诊工作制度=手卫生>传染病患者救治>重点传染病防控>依法履行传染病疫情报告。结论在“疾控监督员制度试点工作”中,综合应用Delphi法、FMEA与Borda序值法评估疾病预防风险,使更多潜在的易被忽视的疾病预防风险被及时识别、预警、追踪、干预,形成闭环,助推医防融合,是一种新思维、新方法,可为各地借鉴。 展开更多
关键词 疾控监督员制度试点工作 疾病预防 风险 Delphi法 FMEA Borda序值法
Construction of an Evaluation Indicator System for Medical MOOCs Quality in China Using Delphi and Analytic Hierarchy Process 认领 引用
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作者 He Jiang Yuan Li +4 位作者 Hui Chen Chunyan He Samdrup Phuntsok Langtsu Tsering Yinghui Liu 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2026年第6期178-192,共15页
Objective:This study addresses the extensive utilization of Massive Open Online Courses(MOOCs)in medical education and acknowledges the multitude of factors affecting their quality.Given the absence of a scientific an... Objective:This study addresses the extensive utilization of Massive Open Online Courses(MOOCs)in medical education and acknowledges the multitude of factors affecting their quality.Given the absence of a scientific and comprehensive assessment system,we aimed to formulate an evaluation indicator system for assessing the quality of medical MOOC construction in China and to determine the weight of each indicator.Methods:Using the Donabedian Structure-Process-Outcome model as theoretical guidance and based on relevant literature retrieval and analysis,we first constructed an evaluation indicator system for medical MOOC construction quality.Then,after two rounds of expert consultation,a final indicator content was built,and the weight of the indicators at each level was determined using the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP).Results:The effective recovery rate of the questionnaires in the two rounds of expert consultation was 68.75%(11/16)and 93.75%(15/16),respectively,and the expert authority coefficient(Cr)was 0.955 and 0.921,respectively.Kendall’s W coefficients for indicators at the second and third levels were 0.174 and 0.238,respectively(p<0.01),indicating substantial expert consensus,and the weighted values of the indicators were determined with a consistency ratio(C.R.)<0.1.Consequently,the final evaluation index system comprises three firstlevel indicators,six secondary indicators,and 71 tertiary indicators.Conclusion:This study successfully established a comprehensive evaluation indicator system for assessing the quality of medical MOOCs,which is characterized by scientific rigor and reliability,and could serve as a valuable reference for evaluating the quality of Medical MOOCs in China. 展开更多
关键词 MOOC Medical education Indicator system Delphi method Analytic hierarchy process
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Using the modified Delphi method to research the influencing factors of longterm health-related quality of life in patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms after endovascular treatment 认领 引用 被引量：4
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作者 Xiao-Dong Zhai Chun-Xiu Wang +7 位作者 Yong-Jie Ma Jia-Xing Yu Si-Shi Xiang Han-Yi Jiao Peng Shao Xin Guan Jun Wang Hong-Qi Zhang 《Chinese Neurosurgical Journal》 CAS CSCD 2020年第2期70-75,共6页
Background:The purpose of this study was to use the modified Delphi method to identify the influencing factors of health-related quality of life(HRQoL)in patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms(UIAs)after endo... Background:The purpose of this study was to use the modified Delphi method to identify the influencing factors of health-related quality of life(HRQoL)in patients with unruptured intracranial aneurysms(UIAs)after endovascular treatment.Methods:A modified Delphi method to obtain expert consensus on the content of potential influencing factors of HRQoL in patients with UIAs treated by endovascular intervention was employed.The research team consists of three neuroradiologists and one epidemiologist from Xuanwu Hospital of Capital Medical University.They randomly selected 21 well-known experts in cerebrovascular disease diagnosis and treatment as participating experts.The importance of the indicator is based on the 5-Likert scale.The standard deviation(SD),coefficient of variation(CV),mean(x),and minimum and maximum scores of each indicator were calculated.The consistency was described by Kendall coefficient of concordance with a p value<0.05 indicating that the expert consistency was high.Result:Twenty-one and 18 questionnaires were responded in 2 rounds,with effective response rates of 85.7%and 100.0%,respectively.The average authoritative coefficient(Cr)of all 21 experts was 0.88,familiarity with the indicators(Cs)was 0.82,and the judgment basis of the indicators(Ca)was 0.94.Eventually,the x values of arterial puncture hematoma,hyperlipidemia,gender,marital status,and hospitalization for other diseases were lower than 3.5;CV for marital status and gender was higher than 0.35.The Kendall coefficient of concordance in the first round was 0.19(p<0.001),and the second round was 0.15(p<0.001).Conclusion:In this study,the factors affecting the recovery of HRQoL after endovascular treatment in patients with UIAs were analyzed by the modified Delphi method,which provided a valuable evidence for the clinical management and daily life guidance for UIAs patients. 展开更多
关键词 Modified Delphi method Unruptured intracranial aneurysms Health-related quality of life
Establishment of the benchmarking tool for evaluating the operation of biorepositories for pathogenic resource using a modified Delphi method 认领 引用 被引量：3
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作者 Geng Hong Dongxin Liu +5 位作者 Yuanyuan Zhao Yalin Zhai Fengzekuan Zhao Yanhai Wang Mengnan Jiang Qiang Wei 《Biosafety and Health》 CAS CSCD 2024年第4期199-205,共7页
In recent years,as the infectious diseases caused by pathogens such as novel coronavirus and mpox(formerly called monkeypox)spread globally,the significance of identification,preservation,and sharing of pathogenic res... In recent years,as the infectious diseases caused by pathogens such as novel coronavirus and mpox(formerly called monkeypox)spread globally,the significance of identification,preservation,and sharing of pathogenic resources become prominent.Along with the rapid development of biorepositories,it is imperative to evaluate their operation in a scientific manner.By using the literature review and modified Delphi method,this study develops a benchmarking tool for the comprehensive evaluation of the operation of biorepositories for pathogenic resources.The effective response rates of both rounds of expert surveys were 100%.The authority coefficients(Cr)were 0.82 and 0.85,respectively,manifesting the reliability of consultation results.In the second‐round survey,the Kendall’s coefficient of concordance(Kendall’s W)of all indicators ranged from 0.09 to 0.31(P<0.001),the comprehensive score ranged from 4.02 to 4.94,the standard deviation ranged from 0.21 to 0.77,and the coefficient of variation(CV)ranged from 0.04 to 0.22,indicating that the expert opinions reached consensus.The final benchmarking tool was composed of 4 primary indicators,12 secondary indicators,and 65 tertiary indicators.The weights of the four primary indicators allocated through the rank‐sum ratio method,namely organizational structure,management requirements,biobanking capacity,and sharing capacity,were 30.50%,30.08%,25.45%,and 13.97%,respectively.The benchmarking tool established in this study provides references for the comprehensive evaluation of the operation and puts forward advice for the sustainable development of biorepositories for pathogenic resources. 展开更多
关键词 Biorepository Pathogenic resource Evaluation Benchmarking tool Modified Delphi method
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